Translated by AI

Trump's strong rise to power has drawn global attention. Everyone says this charismatic strongman president's behavior is unpredictable; however, it is precisely due to the eight years of Obama and how various crises in today's world have worsened that makes it unpredictable.

In order for the world to be filled with chaos and disorder, the United States needs a leader capable of responding to the unpredictable. This illustrates how many people misunderstand Trump.

Politics is determined by human behavior, which is influenced by emotions and different cultural mindsets, often leading to irrationality. Therefore, politics is not a science. Yet, as humans are part of society, historical changes and fluctuations have their own set of rules.

Because human nature has many dark sides, power corrupts, and monarchs can be arrogant, like spoiled children, human behavior can often be predicted. The laws of social change, upon reflection, also show a pattern.

Trump's "unpredictability" is not the real issue; the true question is why the West and humanity find themselves in an unprecedented predicament today.

Trump is a leader who has faced the worst public scrutiny since the founding of the United States. During his last four years, American society, including mainstream media, never treated one of its own presidents fairly or objectively. The bias against Trump stems from his business dealings before entering politics. However, even as a New York real estate mogul, Trump never acted against the public interest; he was simply tough on his business partners. There is no evidence suggesting that once he became president, he would treat Americans like his business partners, harshly and solely for personal gain. It’s not that he definitely wouldn't, but rather that there’s no evidence from the past four years to support that claim.

Of course, Trump’s economic policies also have significant hidden concerns. For example, he cannot compel the next generation of Americans to return to the industrious spirit of their grandparents in the 1950s and go back to factories. Whether the U.S. can revive its industry depends on American business owners, as Hong Kong’s Tang Yingnian said, on whether they can "do the math." If the cost of industrial production cannot be controlled, having a hundred Trumps urging Americans or foreigners to invest will be useless. Therefore, Trump decided to cut corporate taxes to attract investment.

However, can this move counterbalance the inflation effects caused by tariffs on Chinese imports? How do the two relate? Governing a country of 300 million people, Americans’ minimum wage and working hours are increasing, and Trump cannot cut back in that area. Thus, shadows loom over Trump’s economic policies.

Nonetheless, America’s advantage is that it is America. What other countries cannot achieve with Britain, America has the opportunity to do. The U.S. is the world's largest consumer nation and also has abundant energy resources. American culture and military dominance claim global supremacy, and the political system, film culture, and behaviors of its rival offer no appeal to the world. Yet, that rival still possesses the most concentrated cheap production capacity globally, and its low-cost goods remain desirable to politically indifferent American consumers. Increasing tariffs allows the opponent to still use methods like Temu, breaking down shipments to avoid tariffs.

Trump and his team must recognize that their Eastern adversary has a 3,000-year culture and the strategic cunning of Sun Tzu, being ten times more astute and difficult than Russia’s Putin.

Facing a mountain of domestic issues, four years is certainly not enough for Trump. A friend of mine in an international school in Hong Kong has a daughter who, not yet in her sixth year of secondary school, has already returned to tell her parents that she identifies as "Tran." The parents, perplexed, asked what a "Tran" is. After explaining, the shocked Hong Kong parents quickly opposed it, only to be met with their daughter’s emotional rebuttal, accusing them of being transphobic and likening them to Trump supporters and extreme-right fascists.

If this is the situation in Hong Kong, it highlights the immense influence of the American left and demonstrates America’s strong impact. America’s greatest strength lies in its influence. Trump’s election terrified the German Chancellor, prompting her to call for early elections, and it’s believed that right-wing forces will emerge. Hamas and Hezbollah are calling for school closures, and the Netherlands has announced stricter border controls. Europe has already sensed the changing seasons, while the newly elected Labour Party in Britain finds itself in an awkward position.

Trump possesses a Moses-like power to lead his people across the Red Sea; more and more people believe that God will intervene at critical moments, just like a bullet that passes through without harm.